Category Archives: Residential

2018 & 2019 Residential Refinance and Purchase Lending Forecasts as of March 2018

As we economists say, “forecasting is difficult, especially the future.”   Fortunately, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the MBA update their quarterly and annual forecasts monthly for residential lending volumes –  both refinance and purchase transactions. The forecasts typically span a three-year period, currently from 2017 to 2019. While the MBA is the sole forecaster of 2020 …Read more

New Home Sales in February 2018 Flat Versus a Year Ago

New homes sales of 618,000 on seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR) were essentially unchanged from both a year ago and the prior month.    There were 305,000 new homes available for sale at the end of February 2018 equating to an estimated 5.9 months inventory.  In comparison, existing homes had a miniscule 3.4 month inventory …Read more

Existing Home Sales Ratcheted Up 1.1 Percent Vs a Year Ago in February 2018, Reversing a Miss in January — Despite Shrinking Inventory

Sales of existing homes ratcheted up 1.1 percent in February 2018 compared to a year ago, hitting a seasonally adjusted annualized sales rate (SAAR) of 5.54 million homes according to the National Association of Realtors® (NAR).  On a raw unadjusted basis, home sales of 319,000 in February 2018 were up from 315,000 a year ago, …Read more

2018 & 2019 Refinance and Purchase Lending Forecasts as of January 2018

As we economists say, “forecasting is difficult, especially the future.”   Fortunately, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the MBA update their quarterly and annual forecasts monthly for residential lending volumes –  both refinance and purchase transactions. The forecasts typically span a three-year period, currently from 2017 to 2019.  Freddie Mac did not breakout the quarterly forecast …Read more

Another Top-10 List — Where Millennials are Buying Homes

Contrary to popular opinion, Millennials are buying homes today and the rate of homeownership among the demographic is going no place but up in the long run as they age.  Since 2016, Millennials have been the top homebuyer demographic cohort in the U.S. according to the National Association of Realtors® (NAR).  In the latter half …Read more