Tag Archives: Interest Rates

Residential Lending Forecast 2019 & 2020 as of May 2019

Interest rates make up part of the throttle linkage for residential lending.  Shown in the table is the latest forecast for 30-year conventional mortgage rates as reported by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the Mortgage Bankers Association.  None see residential mortgage rates exceeding 4.6 percent between now and 2021 on an annualized basis.  The 30-year …Read more

Residential Lending Volume Forecast 2019-2020: Refi & Purchase Lending Volumes & Interest Rates as of March 2019

One year ago the expectation was for rising interest rates and plunging refinance lending volumes.   Yet as of March 28, 2019, the 30-year conventional mortgage interest rate fell 22 basis points from the prior week to 4.06 percent according to Freddie Mac’s Weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey.  The drop was the largest one-week decline seen …Read more

Existing Home Sales in June 2018 Like a Slow Leaking Tire — Hard to Notice the Difference But the Dash Warning Light Just Illuminated

Existing home sale slipped 2.2 percent in June 2018 versus a year ago to 5.38 million sales on a seasonally adjusted annualized basis (SAAR) according to National Association of Realtors® (NAR).  Sales dipped 0.6 percent sequentially from May on a SAAR.  From an unadjusted basis, housing sales in the first six months totaled 2.631 million, …Read more

New Single Family Home Sales Jump 14.1 Percent Vs A Year Ago in May 2018, Median Price Down 3.3 Percent to $313,000

New single family residential (SFR) home sales of 689,000 on seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR) were up 14.1 percent versus a year ago and 6.7 percent sequentially from April.   Other than the 712,000 SAAR rate posted in November 2017, this is the greatest level seen since October 2007.  Year-to-date new home sales are up 8.8 …Read more