Tag Archives: Interest Rates

Purchase & Refinance Lending Forecast April 2018

As we economists say, “forecasting is difficult, especially the future.”   Fortunately, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the MBA update their quarterly and annual forecasts monthly for residential lending volumes –  both refinance and purchase transactions.  Driving these lending forecasts is  the expectation of future interest rates.  As the following table shows, there is not perfect …Read more

March 2018 Existing Home Sales Down 1.2 Percent Vs a Year Ago — Median Price Up 5.8 Percent to $250,400 Driven By Minimal Inventory and Strong Demand

Existing home sales came in at  5.60 million dwelling units on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR) in March 2018, down 1.2 percent versus a year ago but up 1.1 percent sequentially compared to February 2018, according to the National Association of Realtors® (NAR).   On a raw unadjusted basis, sales totaled 434,000 in March 2018 …Read more

2018 & 2019 Refinance and Purchase Lending Forecasts as of January 2018

As we economists say, “forecasting is difficult, especially the future.”   Fortunately, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the MBA update their quarterly and annual forecasts monthly for residential lending volumes –  both refinance and purchase transactions. The forecasts typically span a three-year period, currently from 2017 to 2019.  Freddie Mac did not breakout the quarterly forecast …Read more

Residential Purchase Lending Volume Forecast August 2017

As stated last month: As we economists say, “forecasting is difficult, especially the future.”   Fortunately, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the MBA update their quarterly and annual forecasts monthly for residential lending volumes –  both refinance and purchase transactions.  The forecasts typically span a three-year period, currently from 2016 to 2018.  The lagging year (2016 …Read more

Average Mortgage Interest Deduction by State — 2015

Congress has encouraged homeownership by allowing the deduction of home mortgage interest payments and property taxes on primary and second homes owned by individuals.  For full details on home mortgage interest deductibility as it currently stands, read the IRS publication with all of the particulars at https://www.irs.gov/publications/p936/ar02.html Naturally to qualify for a deduction, the minimums …Read more

Residential Purchase and Refinance Lending Volume Forecast Update — July 2017

As we economists say, “forecasting is difficult, especially the future.”   Fortunately, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the MBA update their quarterly and annual forecasts monthly for residential lending volumes –  both refinance and purchase transactions.  The forecasts typically span a three-year period, currently from 2016 to 2018.  The lagging year (2016 at this time) often …Read more

Residential Buy Versus Rent by State

One of the largest decisions anyone makes is whether to purchase or rent a home.  The answer is not always straight forward.   Many factors are required to reach a financial solution:  home price, rent, income tax rate, interest rate, property tax, duration of rent or ownership, other tax deductions that can be itemized, insurance, homeowner …Read more