Tag Archives: Interest Rates

Residential Purchase Lending Volume Forecast August 2017

As stated last month: As we economists say, “forecasting is difficult, especially the future.”   Fortunately, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the MBA update their quarterly and annual forecasts monthly for residential lending volumes –  both refinance and purchase transactions.  The forecasts typically span a three-year period, currently from 2016 to 2018.  The lagging year (2016 …Read more

Average Mortgage Interest Deduction by State — 2015

Congress has encouraged homeownership by allowing the deduction of home mortgage interest payments and property taxes on primary and second homes owned by individuals.  For full details on home mortgage interest deductibility as it currently stands, read the IRS publication with all of the particulars at https://www.irs.gov/publications/p936/ar02.html Naturally to qualify for a deduction, the minimums …Read more

Residential Purchase and Refinance Lending Volume Forecast Update — July 2017

As we economists say, “forecasting is difficult, especially the future.”   Fortunately, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the MBA update their quarterly and annual forecasts monthly for residential lending volumes –  both refinance and purchase transactions.  The forecasts typically span a three-year period, currently from 2016 to 2018.  The lagging year (2016 at this time) often …Read more

Residential Buy Versus Rent by State

One of the largest decisions anyone makes is whether to purchase or rent a home.  The answer is not always straight forward.   Many factors are required to reach a financial solution:  home price, rent, income tax rate, interest rate, property tax, duration of rent or ownership, other tax deductions that can be itemized, insurance, homeowner …Read more

Commercial Capitalization Rates and 10-Year Treasuries

Had the opportunity to participate in a panel on industrial real estate this month at a national commercial conference. I was taken aback by a broker and fellow panel member that truly believed that rising interest rates would not result in a corresponding increase in capitalization rates. The panelist’s denial of a likely increase in …Read more

30-Year Residential Mortgage Rates Jump to 3.94 Percent Vs 3.57 Percent a Week Ago

One week following the U.S. Presidential election, 30-year conventional fixed-rate residential loans rocketed up 37 basis points from 3.57 percent to 3.94 percent as investors commenced dumping their low-yielding Treasuries in anticipation of rising rates due to a stronger economy. Mortgage rate data are from Freddie Mac’s weekly Primary Mortgage Market Survey http://www.freddiemac.com/pmms/archive.html?year=2016. The 37 …Read more