Tag Archives: Interest Rates

Existing Home Sales in June 2018 Like a Slow Leaking Tire — Hard to Notice the Difference But the Dash Warning Light Just Illuminated

Existing home sale slipped 2.2 percent in June 2018 versus a year ago to 5.38 million sales on a seasonally adjusted annualized basis (SAAR) according to National Association of Realtors® (NAR).  Sales dipped 0.6 percent sequentially from May on a SAAR.  From an unadjusted basis, housing sales in the first six months totaled 2.631 million, …Read more

New Single Family Home Sales Jump 14.1 Percent Vs A Year Ago in May 2018, Median Price Down 3.3 Percent to $313,000

New single family residential (SFR) home sales of 689,000 on seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR) were up 14.1 percent versus a year ago and 6.7 percent sequentially from April.   Other than the 712,000 SAAR rate posted in November 2017, this is the greatest level seen since October 2007.  Year-to-date new home sales are up 8.8 …Read more

Year-To-Date Existing Home Sales Down 0.65 Percent, Seasonally Adjusted Homes Sales Off 1.4 percent Year-Over-Year in April 2018

Tight inventories of listings for sale and rising residential mortgage interest rates slightly deflected existing home sales in April 2018 as reported by the National Association of Realtors®.   Actual sales in April 2018 of 460,000 compared to 447,000 a year ago were up 2.9 percent, but sales year-to-date dipped 0.65 percent.  From a seasonally adjusted …Read more

Purchase & Refinance Lending Forecast April 2018

As we economists say, “forecasting is difficult, especially the future.”   Fortunately, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the MBA update their quarterly and annual forecasts monthly for residential lending volumes –  both refinance and purchase transactions.  Driving these lending forecasts is  the expectation of future interest rates.  As the following table shows, there is not perfect …Read more

March 2018 Existing Home Sales Down 1.2 Percent Vs a Year Ago — Median Price Up 5.8 Percent to $250,400 Driven By Minimal Inventory and Strong Demand

Existing home sales came in at  5.60 million dwelling units on a seasonally adjusted annualized rate (SAAR) in March 2018, down 1.2 percent versus a year ago but up 1.1 percent sequentially compared to February 2018, according to the National Association of Realtors® (NAR).   On a raw unadjusted basis, sales totaled 434,000 in March 2018 …Read more